Overview of London’s Commercial Property Market — 3rd Quarter 2014

Overview of London's Commercial Property Market - 3rd Quarter 2014 from LondonOfficeSpace.comDuring the third quarter of 2014, the commercial property market in London has greatly benefited from a strengthened economy. Low interest rates and improved consumer confidence have contributed to making commercial floorspace in the British capital attractive to the eyes of investors and property managers, many of whom are trying to make the most out of the fact that overall prices still remain well below the peak they reached in 2007. During the past three months, average values for commercial property in London have been 31 per cent lower than in 2007. Return rates on investment for all types of commercial property have hovered around the 15 per cent mark, a slightly higher figure than the one experienced during the first half of the year. The commercial property market in London remains largely dominated by overseas investors, who currently have a 57 per cent market share, followed by UK institutions and property firms. Read on for more details on the market’s performance during the third quarter of 2014.

The London Office Market Q3 2014

On the whole, the cost of office space in central London is currently 4 per cent below its 2007 record high values. Having said that, it is important to note that some areas within central London have managed to return to or even exceed their pre-recession values. This is the case of offices in the West End, whose value increased by 5 per cent during the third quarter of this year. At the end of August 2014, office take-up rates in London were 17 per cent higher than during the previous year.

The latest data also show that the gap in prices between primary and secondary office stock in the city has been consistently narrowing down over the past quarter. Moderate rental growth is now evident across most city locations. However moderate, rental value increases and rising occupation costs have led more than 40 corporate occupiers to relocate from West End core offices to cheaper properties in areas like Midtown, the South Bank, or the city fringe. Year-on-year rental growth values are now 9.8 per cent higher in Midtown properties (which have been clearly outperforming those in other areas) and 7.3 per cent higher in city fringe locations.

Another trend worth mentioning is the significant number of central London offices that have been earmarked for conversion into residential properties. In the West End alone, more than 800,000 square feet of office space are set to be re-developed into residential floorspace within the next few years. It is expected that this trend will continue, as during the past three months consent has been granted to dozens of planning applications that will result in office-to-residential conversions. Continue reading “Overview of London’s Commercial Property Market — 3rd Quarter 2014”

Overview of London’s Commercial Property Market – 2nd Quarter 2014

The second quarter of 2014 has proven to be an active period for the capital’s commercial property market. In fact, the first half of this year has seen some of the highest activity levels and take-up rates since 2010. This has been undoubtedly prompted by increased consumer and business confidence, GDP growth, and a recovering labour market. Below you will find a detailed account of how the London commercial property market has fared during the second quarter of the year.

London office property market: trends and figures for Q2 – 2014

During the second quarter of 2014, nearly 3 million square feet of office space were transacted in London. The vast majority of deals involved office properties in The City and in the West End, whereas a relatively small number of deals involved office space in the Docklands area. Take-up rates were up by nearly 20 per cent on a 5-year quarterly average. Approximately 38 per cent of all deals were carried out by companies in the banking and finance sectors. The professional services industry accounted for 20 per cent of all deals, wheras the TMT sector carried out 16 per cent of all transactions.

In terms of rental values, growth has been clearly evident in nearly every sub-market. Prime rents were almost 12 per cent higher than during Q2 – 2013. In the West End, prime rents currently average £115 per square feet. Areas like Mayfair, St James, and Marylebone command the highest prices in the West End, while Battersea, Fulham, and Camden have the lowest rental values in the area. The cost of office space in The City has risen to £58.5 per square feet, and in the Docklands prime rents are in the region of £36 per square feet. There are more than 500,000 square feet under offer in the Docklands, so it is expected that rental values in this area will continue to rise during the remainder of 2014.

During this quarter, pre-letting deals constituted nearly 60 per cent of all transactions, although in some parts of the capital (such as The City), pre-letting accounted for a higher percentage of the total number of transactions. Some of the most noteworthy transactions involved properties that are still under construction in the West End, such as the office buildings at 1 Fitzroy Place, 10 Brock Street, and 10 New Burlington Street. These are expected to be completed by 2015.

Continue reading “Overview of London’s Commercial Property Market – 2nd Quarter 2014”

Overview of London’s Commercial Property Market – 1st Quarter 2014

So far, 2014 has had a promising start in terms of the overall health of the UK’s real estate market. According to the most recent indicators, the British economy is experiencing its strongest growth levels since 2007, and this has undoubtedly had a positive knock-on effect in the UK’s real estate market. Take a look at the key trends and figures that have marked the commercial property market in London during the first quarter of the year.

The London office market: key facts and figures

During the first quarter of 2014, the predominant theme in the London office property market has been increased investment activity and the investors’ willingness to take on bigger risks and to get involved in larger transactions. This trend has been mostly evident in the geographical expansion of the office market within and beyond the city’s boundaries. In previous quarters, activity in the office market concentrated around the Central London area. However, during the first quarter of the year, occupiers and investors have shown an increasingly strong preference for out-of-town offices (whose yields have increased to 4 per cent) and for properties in the Thames Valley area, whose current investment yields average 6 per cent. Nevertheless, office space located in the city’s West End commands the highest investment yield values at an average of nearly 8 per cent, followed by City office floor space, which is currently yielding returns of 6 per cent.

The key role played last year by the technology, media, and communications sector in the growth of the London office market has continued to be evident during the first quarter of 2014. Analysts at Deloitte affirm that during the remainder of the year, the TMT sector will continue to be the most important source of demand in the capital’s office market. Likewise, analysts have noticed increased demand for office space from banking and financial companies, whose requirements for additional floor space seem to be back on track thanks to the generalised optimistic outlook of the British economy.

Another highlight of this quarter involves the drop in office vacancy rates, which currently stand at 6.8 per cent. This figure is a clear improvement over the long-term average for the city, which has been close to 8 per cent for the past five years. In Central London and the West End, class A prime office rents average £120 per square foot. Last year ended with average rental values of £110, but during the first quarter of 2014 rising demand has resulted in significant price increases.

Outside the West End, leasing activity has been particularly buoyant in areas like King’s Cross, Euston, Paddington, Midtown, Victoria, Mayfair, and the area north of Oxford Street. In fact, some of this sub-markets have experienced year-on-year rental growth values of up to 26 per cent.

Overall, during the first three months of 2014, the most obvious trends in the office property market have been strengthened occupier activity, increased rental values, and stronger investor activity. Continue reading “Overview of London’s Commercial Property Market – 1st Quarter 2014”